Worth Discussing

Democrat Problems Widen Among Those Absolutely Certain to Vote

Resurgent Republic | July 26, 2010

With the election just over three months away, our most recent survey shows Republicans hold a 3 point advantage on the congressional generic ballot in key battleground states. In addition, these voters disapprove of President Obama’s job performance, 50 to 47 percent. 

The political landscape becomes more troubling for Democrats when looking at those absolutely certain to vote this November. On the generic congressional ballot, the Republican advantage increases to 10 points, 44 to 34 percent. President Obama’s job performance doesn’t fare much better. Obama goes further upside down among those absolutely certain to vote, 55 to 42 percent. With numbers like these, it’s open to debate as to whether a presidential visit will do more to help a Democrat or Republican candidate prior to the election.


verall, 65 percent of those surveyed said they are absolutely certain to vote. Republicans (73 percent) and Independents (64 percent) outnumber Democrats (57 percent). The survey was fielded in “toss-up” Senate states as designated by the Cook Political Report (AR, CA, CO, FL, IL, KY, MO, NH, NV, OH, PA, and WA).

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Filed under: News, Obama Approval Rating, Generic Ballot, and 2010 Elections