Polling Analysis

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Voter Enthusiasm Mirage

Posted on December 6, 2012 | Polling Analysis

Key subgroups of President Obama's winning coalition including Hispanics, young voters, and unmarried women outperformed their 2008 turnout levels, even though these cohorts exuded less enthusiasm to get to the polls than Governor Romney’s core supporters.

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2012: The Year Changing Demographics Caught Up With Republicans

Posted on November 10, 2012 | Polling Analysis

The 2012 election marks the year when the inexorable march of demographic change caught up with the Republican Party.  While multiple factors led to President Obama's reelection, none was as important as rapidly increasing demographic change in the American electorate.

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10 Trends Showing Barack Obama's Collapse Among Independents

Posted on November 1, 2012 | Polling Analysis

President Obama is collapsing among Independent voters, but this is not an "October Surprise." The rebellion of the center is a fundamental trend of President Obama's four years in office due to his failed record and pursuit of government activism.

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Obama Support Collapsing Among Independents

Posted on October 31, 2012 | Polling Analysis

In this last Resurgent Republic survey before the election, taken October 23-25, Mitt Romney has caught up with President Obama, and now leads the national ballot by 48 to 47 percent. The Romney advance has been driven by Independent voters who have moved toward Romney in the wake of the three Presidential debates.

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On the Day of the First Debate, Presidential Contest Remains Close

Posted on October 3, 2012 | Polling Analysis

Today we are releasing our latest survey, a cooperative endeavor conducted with Democracy Corps for National Public Radio. The survey polled 800 registered voters nationally, plus an oversample in 12 battleground states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and

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Obama Outside the Mainstream of Center-Right Electorate

Posted on September 6, 2012 | Polling Analysis

When President Obama accepts his party's nomination, he'll find a receptive audience among Democrats in Charlotte's Time Warner Cable Arena. Yet the nation's center-right electorate views him as outside the ideological mainstream. In fact, likely voters and Independents place their own ideology closer to Governor Romney than President Obama.

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