Swing Voters: Obama’s Plan Is Not WorkingLuke Frans | Resurgent Republic | July 25, 2012
President Obama continues to talk about the economy and the impact of his policies in a manner that cuts against the grain of most voters, especially Independents. At a fundraiser in California on July 24, President Obama noted:
“Just like we’ve tried their plan, we tried our plan – and it worked. That’s the difference. (Applause.) That’s the choice in this election. That’s why I’m running for a second term.“
Yet a majority of voters believes exactly the opposite. In our May national survey, we tested this message in a simulated debate. Voters chose between the following two economic policy statements:
Congressman A says that President Obama’s economic plan is working and we need to stay the course. Unemployment is going down, more jobs are being created, we’ve taken steps to reduce the deficit, and economic conditions are improving for most of the country.
Congressman B says that President Obama’s economic plan is not working and we need to try something else. Unemployment remains at record levels, job creation is poor, federal spending is out of control, and much of the country is still in recession.
By 55 to 40 percent, voters agree President Obama’s plan is “not working and we need to try something else.” Key voting blocs also follow the national sentiment: Hispanics (49 to 38 percent), women (53 to 42 percent), and young voters between 18 to 29 years old (56 to 38 percent).
More importantly, swing voters outright reject President Obama’s statement, and do so with nails-on-the-chalkboard intensity. Independents believe the president’s plan is not working by 2-to-1 (63 to 32 percent), and strongly agree with Congressman B over A by nearly 3-to-1 (43 to 15 percent).